30:1 Parlays; gotta bet 'em first just for the opportunity.

Discussion in 'Prop Bets & Side Bets' started by dustedone, Feb 7, 2021.

  1. dustedone, Feb 7, 2021

    dustedone

    dustedone Member

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    In golf, one should seek ONLY opportunities for chance of putting for birdie or even better eagle.

    Craps has moments of opportunities that most patiently wait for ?.? Within a triple overlapping betting matrices, I discovered many more opportunities to parlay ANY 30:1 outcomes. And I have taken that chance and hit a 4% win success. My current rate hopefully will hold up near 5%.
     
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    Last edited: Feb 7, 2021
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  2. dustedone, Feb 7, 2021

    dustedone

    dustedone Member

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    And won on the hard SIX mostly
     
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  3. DeMango, Feb 7, 2021

    DeMango

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    So a hard six, hopping for a $1, hits, parlay, $930 and down. 4% of the time? Sorry, call bullshit.
     
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  4. DeMango, Feb 7, 2021

    DeMango

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    The cost would be $100 for all hopping hardways at $1 each and parlay whatever hit. Once every 25 times. 830 profit. Go to 5% that’s $930 for a mere $80 outlay.
     
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  5. von duck, Feb 7, 2021

    von duck

    von duck Member

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    It likely will not, but good luck anyway. :cool:
     
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  6. von duck, Feb 7, 2021

    von duck

    von duck Member

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    Probability is 2.8%, throw would have to yield about 150% of expectation.:confused: Possible but very unlikely. :cool:
     
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  7. dustedone, Feb 7, 2021

    dustedone

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    No, anyone of the 30;1 wagers and only one PARLAY. I have won on the hard SIX more than any of the other 30:1 bets opportunities.
     
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  8. dustedone, Feb 7, 2021

    dustedone

    dustedone Member

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    It is not just a PARLAY to win; the matrix still must be taken to completion.
     
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  9. DeMango, Feb 7, 2021

    DeMango

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    So 1/6 X 1/36 = .46%
     
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  10. dustedone, Feb 8, 2021

    dustedone

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    What??? 46%

    Not all rolls that produce a 30:1 outcome are an opportunity to PARLAY that outcome.

    Out of the 100 30:1 PARLAY wagers I have hit 4 times. My running count as of today has a good chance of making 5 maybe 6 wagers. My last win was a hard TEN on the 78th opportunity to PARLAY a 30:1 outcome.

    On the first 100 opportunities, 4 wins at $725 for total of $2900; 96 misses at $30 for a total of $2880. But, this $2880 is recouped and is NOT lost money.
     
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  11. DeMango, Feb 8, 2021

    DeMango

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    Odds are one out of 216 or POINT 46 % How are you getting 10 TIMES (4-5%) better is my question.
     
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  12. Dave G Ct, Feb 13, 2021

    Dave G Ct

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    Dust Bunnies has an inate desire for parlays .Players without the DI skill or players with a good BR management often look for an easy way out.Might have been lucky once and said " I can make this happen!"

    LV is full of these Quiote flamers. Oh forgot Duster had a $29000 kick to hop with or better yet hop off a cliff.
     
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  13. dustedone, Feb 13, 2021

    dustedone

    dustedone Member

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    Holy shit, My girlfriend has this english, grammer and spelling software that grades student composition.

    for shit and giggle I ran your last paragraph and you score a whopping 43%

    Fvcking Dolt
     
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  14. Dave G Ct, Feb 13, 2021

    Dave G Ct

    Dave G Ct Member

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    Duster Bowl

    Got anymore hopping strategies? Or are they intellectual property?Only intellectual property you came across was when you were in a real estate office and a book fell off the shelf and hit you in the head.
     
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  15. dustedone, Feb 14, 2021

    dustedone

    dustedone Member

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    Da Hack,

    Yes, there is The Final chapter to all that has transpired to this point. And again some will want to know and the ones who will do what you do.

    showing small sparks of marginal intelligence dominated by envy and wrath you wheel from behind your keyboard.

    Your methods may satisfy you in the short run (just like your own game strategies) but it will leave your soul empty like your pockets as you leave the casino.

    promising yourself: I ll get em next time!!! bigger, better, next time!
     
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  16. dustedone, Feb 14, 2021

    dustedone

    dustedone Member

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    not 46% more like .04 of 1%, correct?

    I agree that the math says this; the law of averages kind of agrees, but timing??? When and where am I jumping into a roll sequence running and gunning?
     
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  17. von duck, Feb 14, 2021

    von duck

    von duck Member

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    Your "girlfriend" must be FredP. :cool:
     
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  18. Dave G Ct, Feb 14, 2021

    Dave G Ct

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    • Can you imagine you' re at the casino charting tables and you come across Dust Mop - Oh my bad- Mr. Intellectual Property" Words of advice pass on this table unless you want to catch a rare parley. I prefer to toss my way to profits
     
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  19. DeMango, Feb 14, 2021

    DeMango

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    Well I’m gonna take one last stab at this. You are going to try to parlay a 30-1 Hardway. You need to bet [email protected] per toss or $6.00 your odds of hitting are 6/36 or 1/6. Parlay the hit at $31. Odds of hitting are 1/36. Payout is $930.

    Total odds of this happening are 1/216. Profit is $925 , if you hit on first try.
     
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  20. Dave G Ct, Feb 14, 2021

    Dave G Ct

    Dave G Ct Member

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    Remember what Confusus said " DI is not important until it is"
     
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