Here is where you are using your own words, not mine. I expect to win when I play craps.....but I acknowledge the reality, I am playing a negative expectation game. That doesn't mean I will not win, in fact I win quite often....I wouldn't play the game if I didn't. Do I think I could make a living playing craps, a resounding NO. Do I think I get enough pleasure, and enjoyment to warrant the risk, a resounding YES.